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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? · Pronostics

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Volume 24 h: 1,5 k $
Volume total: 761,2 k $
Liquidité: 16 k $
Clôture: 1 janv. 2027

Israel
World
Middle East
Politics
Geopolitics
Gaza

Oui

12%

Carnet d’ordres

Meilleures offres de vente puis d’achat, prix en cents et quantité en parts
Prix	Parts
22¢	15
16¢	77
15¢	1 399
14¢	715
13¢	702
12¢	357
Écart 1.0¢
11¢	320
10¢	520

Issues

Oui1,5 k $ / 24 hhausse sur 24 h +1.5 pts12%
Non1,5 k $ / 24 h89%

Règles de résolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.