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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Pronostics

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Volume 24 h: 63,1 k $
Volume total: 2,2 M $
Liquidité: 97,1 k $
Clôture: 1 oct. 2026

China
Politics
Geopolitics
World

Oui

<1%

Carnet d’ordres

Meilleures offres de vente puis d’achat, prix en cents et quantité en parts
Prix	Parts
1¢	2 392
1¢	3 835
1¢	1 884
1¢	7 069
1¢	2 659
0¢	144
Écart 0.1¢
0¢	4 623
0¢	122 143

Issues

Oui63,1 k $ / 24 h<1%
Non63,1 k $ / 24 h>99%

Règles de résolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.