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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Volume 24 h: 3,1 k $
Volume total: 3,2 M $
Liquidité: 209,3 k $
Clôture: 1 janv. 2028

China
Politics
World
Geopolitics

Oui

12%

Carnet d’ordres

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Écart 1.0¢
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10¢	87 577

Issues

Oui3,1 k $ / 24 h12%
Non3,1 k $ / 24 h89%

Règles de résolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.