Chargement des marchés…
Géopolitique
Netanyahu and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?
<1%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 22 $
- Volume
- 1,2 k $
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
- December 315%
- September 302%
- 24 h
- 21,1 $
- Volume
- 661,9 k $
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?
- December 3125%
- October 316%
- 24 h
- 21 $
- Volume
- 63,6 k $
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Moonshot AI35%
- DeepSeek31%
- Xiaomi21%
- + 1 autres issues
- 24 h
- 20 $
- Volume
- 95,9 k $
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
- December 31baisse sur 24 h -2.0 pts8%
- September 304%
- 24 h
- 20 $
- Volume
- 78,7 k $
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?
- 6-7baisse sur 24 h -5.5 pts47%
- 4-5hausse sur 24 h +0.5 pts30%
- <4hausse sur 24 h +2.0 pts13%
- + 2 autres issues
- 24 h
- 20 $
- Volume
- 8,2 k $
Will Iran target Syria by...?
- October 31hausse sur 24 h +1.0 pts30%
- September 303%
- 24 h
- 17,9 $
- Volume
- 40,1 k $
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 17,3 $
- Volume
- 578,2 k $
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
6%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 16 $
- Volume
- 1,4 M $
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
- 400-500kbaisse sur 24 h -0.5 pts67%
- 500-600k10%
- 300-400k5%
- + 7 autres issues
- 24 h
- 15,1 $
- Volume
- 125,2 k $
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
3%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 12,9 $
- Volume
- 7,8 M $
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?
20%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 12,7 $
- Volume
- 98,8 k $
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
5%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 12,6 $
- Volume
- 155,7 k $
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
7%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 12,4 $
- Volume
- 824,6 k $
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
- December 3113%
- September 30<1%
- 24 h
- 11,4 $
- Volume
- 157,6 k $
Israel Election: Shas # of seats?
- 8-9hausse sur 24 h +1.0 pts39%
- 6-7baisse sur 24 h -1.5 pts22%
- 10-11baisse sur 24 h -1.0 pts20%
- + 2 autres issues
- 24 h
- 11,1 $
- Volume
- 5,5 k $
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
9%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 10,7 $
- Volume
- 117,7 k $
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
2%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 10,4 $
- Volume
- 149,6 k $
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Vietnamhausse sur 24 h +0.9 pts19%
- Mexicobaisse sur 24 h -0.5 pts18%
- Indonesiabaisse sur 24 h -0.5 pts14%
- + 14 autres issues
- 24 h
- 10 $
- Volume
- 396,5 k $
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
4%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 9,8 $
- Volume
- 638,4 k $
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
<1%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 8,5 $
- Volume
- 610,2 $
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
7%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 8 $
- Volume
- 239 k $
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
27%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 6,8 $
- Volume
- 33,4 k $
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
6%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 5,3 $
- Volume
- 163,4 k $