Chargement des marchés…
Géopolitique
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
- December 31hausse sur 24 h +1.0 pts13%
- November 30baisse sur 24 h -1.0 pts8%
- October 31baisse sur 24 h -0.8 pts3%
- + 1 autres issues
- 24 h
- 43,4 k $
- Volume
- 18,1 M $
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
- December 3130%
- October 31baisse sur 24 h -2.8 pts3%
- September 301%
- 24 h
- 42,1 k $
- Volume
- 1,8 M $
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
- December 3131%
- October 31baisse sur 24 h -0.5 pts17%
- 24 h
- 40,6 k $
- Volume
- 7,8 M $
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
- September 23hausse sur 24 h +1.8 pts>99%
- September 21hausse sur 24 h +1.7 pts98%
- September 26hausse sur 24 h +7.0 pts59%
- + 8 autres issues
- 24 h
- 39,7 k $
- Volume
- 73,6 k $
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- CATLhausse sur 24 h +7.0 pts37%
- Tencent26%
- Alibaba25%
- + 7 autres issues
- 24 h
- 37,2 k $
- Volume
- 425,3 k $
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 34,3 k $
- Volume
- 10,8 M $
Iran leader end of 2026?
- Mojtaba Khamenei84%
- No Head of State5%
- Reza Pahlavi3%
- + 27 autres issues
- 24 h
- 31,4 k $
- Volume
- 39,6 M $
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
8%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 30,1 k $
- Volume
- 875,6 k $
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thanihausse sur 24 h +5.0 pts83%
- Mohammad Bagher Ghalibafhausse sur 24 h +16.5 pts56%
- Ishaq Darhausse sur 24 h +8.5 pts55%
- + 14 autres issues
- 24 h
- 29,7 k $
- Volume
- 1 M $
Iran leadership change by...?
- June 30, 202726%
- December 3114%
- November 307%
- + 2 autres issues
- 24 h
- 29,5 k $
- Volume
- 26,1 M $
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
4%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 25,9 k $
- Volume
- 13,9 M $
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
- December 31hausse sur 24 h +2.5 pts91%
- October 31hausse sur 24 h +2.5 pts67%
- September 30baisse sur 24 h -6.5 pts13%
- 24 h
- 25,3 k $
- Volume
- 289,3 k $
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
- December 31hausse sur 24 h +3.0 pts28%
- October 31baisse sur 24 h -3.0 pts15%
- September 30baisse sur 24 h -2.3 pts3%
- 24 h
- 24,6 k $
- Volume
- 3,1 M $
Crude Oil all time high by...?
- December 31hausse sur 24 h +1.0 pts12%
- September 30<1%
- 24 h
- 23,6 k $
- Volume
- 4,2 M $
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- December 31hausse sur 24 h +2.8 pts94%
- October 31hausse sur 24 h +3.5 pts87%
- September 30hausse sur 24 h +4.5 pts82%
- 24 h
- 22,1 k $
- Volume
- 300,2 k $
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 21,4 k $
- Volume
- 26,3 M $
Russia military action against EU country by...?
- December 31baisse sur 24 h -3.5 pts17%
- September 302%
- 24 h
- 20,8 k $
- Volume
- 71,2 k $
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
- December 31, 2026baisse sur 24 h -17.0 pts70%
- October 31, 2026baisse sur 24 h -21.0 pts49%
- September 30, 2026baisse sur 24 h -17.5 pts37%
- + 1 autres issues
- 24 h
- 20,6 k $
- Volume
- 37,3 k $
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
<1%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 18,8 k $
- Volume
- 2,5 M $
Next leader out of power before 2027?
- None before 2027hausse sur 24 h +3.0 pts38%
- Netanyahu - Israel PMbaisse sur 24 h -5.0 pts31%
- Lecornu - France PM12%
- + 19 autres issues
- 24 h
- 18,6 k $
- Volume
- 577,3 k $
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
- Satya Nadellahausse sur 24 h +1.6 pts>99%
- Mark Zuckerberghausse sur 24 h +9.4 pts98%
- Sundar Pichaihausse sur 24 h +0.7 pts98%
- + 7 autres issues
- 24 h
- 18,1 k $
- Volume
- 38,5 k $
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
- Vladimir Putinhausse sur 24 h +2.5 pts75%
- Mohammed bin Salmanhausse sur 24 h +1.0 pts53%
- Kim Jong Unbaisse sur 24 h -2.0 pts22%
- + 11 autres issues
- 24 h
- 13,6 k $
- Volume
- 1,2 M $
Netanyahu out by...?
48%
de chances · Oui
- 24 h
- 13,6 k $
- Volume
- 124,4 M $
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
- December 31baisse sur 24 h -1.0 pts14%
- October 315%
- 24 h
- 13,4 k $
- Volume
- 2 M $